Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.129825 0.144850 0.161491 0.181396 0.204698 0.231285 0.264162
2024-10-27 0.105636 0.124945 0.148101 0.178314 0.217299 0.266770 0.335741
2024-11-03 0.093625 0.116068 0.144797 0.185174 0.241993 0.321630 0.446655
2024-11-10 0.084312 0.108527 0.141215 0.190113 0.264331 0.378214 0.578653
2024-11-17 0.074922 0.099216 0.133368 0.187020 0.273598 0.416967 0.696156
2024-11-24 0.067096 0.090915 0.125528 0.182175 0.278510 0.449161 0.814104
2024-12-01 0.059350 0.081779 0.115178 0.171541 0.271320 0.457698 0.888000
2024-12-08 0.055187 0.077472 0.111580 0.171177 0.281713 0.501630 1.059848
2024-12-15 0.052659 0.075348 0.111069 0.175812 0.302046 0.571337 1.334229
2024-12-22 0.048598 0.070427 0.105449 0.170526 0.301879 0.596348 1.501514
2024-12-29 0.047046 0.069351 0.106067 0.176660 0.326209 0.686228 1.937399
2025-01-05 0.044350 0.066164 0.102727 0.174763 0.332847 0.734276 2.270943
2025-01-12 0.042272 0.063927 0.100981 0.176078 0.347858 0.813127 2.826681
2025-01-19 0.039495 0.060307 0.096447 0.171199 0.347475 0.848639 3.238342
2025-01-26 0.038393 0.059480 0.096922 0.176820 0.374359 0.981259 4.392329
2025-02-02 0.037197 0.058384 0.096772 0.181067 0.398937 1.120605 5.938112
2025-02-09 0.035259 0.055814 0.093550 0.177996 0.402862 1.187432 7.134290
2025-02-16 0.033319 0.053114 0.089856 0.173385 0.401493 1.233946 8.319394
2025-02-23 0.030956 0.049508 0.084119 0.163392 0.382472 1.199412 8.566898
2025-03-02 0.029785 0.048034 0.082523 0.163038 0.392542 1.298447 10.886454
2025-03-09 0.029166 0.047540 0.082856 0.167375 0.418381 1.489224 15.876316
2025-03-16 0.027704 0.045374 0.079594 0.162420 0.413075 1.522316 18.353009
2025-03-23 0.027318 0.045228 0.080517 0.168166 0.445303 1.783916 29.738699